Wednesday, July 28, 2010

Mrs. Mayor Bloomberg

Greg David has a commentary (no link) in Crain's indicating that Diana Taylor-the mayor's companion-might make a run at succeeding her honey. And Davis seems to feel that she just might get some traction: "But missing from the discussion so far is the political context. There will be enormous interest in a Taylor candidacy for mayor because the moderate elements in the city--especially in the business community--will be desperate for an alternative to the predictable Democrats lining up to run. Consider the list: Speaker Christine Quinn, defeated candidate Bill Thompson, Congressman Anthony Weiner, Public Advocate Bill DeBlasio and Comptroller John Liu, Manhattan Borough President Scott Stringer and Brooklyn Borough President Marty Markowitz. Anyone in that list make your heart go pitter-patter?"

But David doesn't examine the question of whether there will be a strong case of Bloomberg fatigue in 2013-and as far as getting the support of  so-called moderate elements, he posits the, "business community," as its apotheosis. But there's a lot more to this moderate element than the big real estate moguls that Bloomberg has been catering to for the past two terms-and that's beside the fact that Taylor would inherit all of the mayor's negatives without the commensurate fortune to project her own countervailing image.

And from our view, the enthusiasm for the mayor and  his policies is stretched pretty thin in the outer boroughs-and the support the mayor garnered in those precincts was due to the fortune he spent, as well as owing to the lame nature of his opponent. And yet he still only managed to win by a few percentage points.

Make no mistake a bout it, the mayor has all but abandoned the city's small businesses-and the Flushing Commons project that is a direct assault on the Chinese and Korean shopkeepers, is just the latest example of Bloomberg's disdain for the neighborhoods. And let's not forget that Bloomberg's PLaNYC 2030 is being mocked on a daily basis by all of his auto-dependent mega development-something that Taylor will be forced to defend.

So, in our view Taylor, absent $100 million to lavish on the electoral process, will be hard pressed to mount a credible campaign-and if she raises a huge chunk of money from, well, the monied interests, she won't be able to fall back on the Bloomberg excuse that it's her own dough. And since when do we have some version of the divine right of kings? All in all, no one's gonna be pitter patting for her candidacy, an effort that we believe won't be Taylor-made for the next election cycle