Saturday, June 30, 2007
Congestion Tax: Got You Coming and Going
As the Times points out, this aspect of the plan "has not been widely mentioned... {and}... It might seem that anyone taking a car out of the congestion zone ought to be rewarded instead of penalized, but officials disagreed" There's a good reason for the lack of candor, it runs against the advertised rationale that the plan is designed to cut traffic, "chiefly by persuading people from the other boroughs and beyond to leave their cars behind..."
This lack of candor is no accident because, as the Times indicates, "But city officials also appear aware of the political sensitivity of the plan, and are counting on support from people residing inside of the zone, who would be expected to benefit from the drop in traffic." And what happens when people are told of this feature of the plan? They are no longer knee-jerk supporters of the idea: "'I don't think it's fair,' said Jose Hernandez, 60, a parking lot attendant who lives on West 57th Street, 'I've got family uptown, and my son lives in the Bronx.'"
What else aren't we being told? All of which makes it clear that this scheme needs a full, thorough, and independent review-and not a "wham!, bam!, thank you ma'am" approach that the mayor and his minions seem to favor in all things large and small.
Columbia, ESDC-AKRF'd Up
The main issue, one that we have commented on before, is the fact that the consulting firm AKRF is employed by Columbia to give the environmental impact of the university's expansion the most favorable gloss, while at the same time working for ESDC as a consultant in order to "determine" whether the area Columbia wants to seize is really "blighted." As we said previously, this is the equivalent of a take home exam that the student gets to mark herself; and it raises serious questions about the legitimacy of the entire process.
Now we have commented previously about the serious weaknesses in the city's land use review process, and in particular the worthiness of the so-called environmental consulting work that is done on behalf of developers. The good folks at the Manhattan Institute, no knee-jerk opponents of development, have cogently alerted us to the unhealthy collaboration between developers, their environmental consultants, and the review agencies that are supposed to do the proper due diligence of the data that is submitted on behalf of development projects.
The key analysis in the Institute report was the observation that no one wants to go on record "blowing the whistle" if something in the data submitted doesn't ring true. Therefore, the review process often becomes a charade and, unless the opponents have the resources to fight-like those in West Harlem-communities are never adequately informed about the real impacts of development.
The untoward situation up at Columbia, however, goes way beyond the generic inadequacy of ULURP. In this case, all pretense of fairness has been tossed out the window and the foxes haven't even bothered to dress up as chickens. As Justice Kornreich says, "'A.K.R.F, presumably, seeks to succeed in securing an outcome that its client, Columbia, would favor.'"
In some ways ESDC, Columbia and AKRF have done us all a favor and, through their blatant disregard for any semblance of pretense, clearly demonstrated the phony nature of the UURP process in this city. Now the only thing that needs to be done here is for the consultants to be recused; and for the entire ULURP process to be suspended until a clearer understanding of the interrelationships between the parties is fully revealed.
The failure of the city to do this would seem to us to imperil the project in the litigation that will almost certainly occur should the expansion be approved by the city. In any case, as Norm Siegal points out in the Times this morning the entire project reeks of collusion: "'The easiest way to put it is that you can't serve two masters...The government has the power to condemn my clients' property. But the process should be neutral and objective, and when you find out that the government has retained Columbia's consultant, it can't be neutral anymore.'"
Friday, June 29, 2007
Everyone, Even the Mayor, Needs a Good Editor
Among the changes supposedly in the works are; (1) An alteration and narrowing of the zone; (2) A reduction of the hours that the tax would be applied; and, (3) A modification of the current allowance that allows New Jersey drivers to deduct their congestion tax from the tolls they pay crossing the Hudson.
Crain's observes that all of these potential changes could lead to a showdown with the mayor, who said Wednesday that the legislature shouldn't be "micromanaging" the city's plan-another example of the arrogance emanating out of city hall. The fact is that the plan is deeply flawed and needs to be altered, something that would have been done had the mayor brought the whole idea to the legislature early on. That would, however, been out of character for the "my way or the highway mayor."
So instead, the mayor and Deputy Dan exhibit their lack of political acumen and any chance of success has been diminished because of it. Our feeling in all of this was that the mayor was the best friend that opponents of his plan could hope to have. It remains to be determined if he can use his muscle to overcome his lack of skills in the legislative process.
Clueless
Now, as the NY Post and the NY Daily News both are reporting, the mayor is back to his old patrician tricks in dismissing New Yorker' concerns with subway overcrowding as "a minor inconvenience." As one rider told the Post, the mayor must be "commuting from another planet." The News simply asks, "Hey Mike Bloomberg, what train are you riding?"
So, as we have come to expect, the mayor is clueless when it comes to the plight of the average New Yorker. But, as we see this morning, the mayor is not alone. The NY Daily News joins with the clueless mayor in its editorial on subway overcrowding-coming to exactly the wrong conclusions from TA president Roberts' report on the overcapacity in many of the city's most utilized lines.
Instead of arguing that the severe overcrowding should merit a delay in the implementation of a congestion tax that would add an additional 100,000 new riders to the system, the News says that the Roberts report, "...explains why the Legislature must enact congestion pricing." Really? The city does need a financial plan to devise the appropriate methods for the construction of the new infrastructure that the system needs. No one has bothered to evaluate just why the mayor's plan is the best one to accomplish these needed goals.
Instead, the mayor's big on trying to bogart everyone with his, "I'm rich and I know better mentality." All of this putative platform building for a run for national office will, however, flounder once people realize that Bloomberg's elitist worldview is out-of-touch with their real world concerns.
Thursday, June 28, 2007
Philosophical Exposure on Congestion Tax
This underlying rationale is exposed in today's NY Sun in an article that looks at the possibility of a "free" subway system. The fantasy in question, is the brainchild of our old buddy George Haikalis, a man we last encountered in the AirTrain fight with the Port Authority. What Haikalis envisions, and the concept is contained in a report of his Institute for Rational Mobility, is a $16 toll on all bridges and tunnels.
Which is exactly where we are heading with the mayor's plan because, just like the case of the London tax, it is only a matter of time before the insatiable appetite of the MTA need to be re-fed. What's amusing is the response of Gene Russianoff, who described the idea as a "platonic ideal." Which reminds us of the late philosopher Karl Popper who rightly saw in Platonism the seeds of totalitarianism.
None of these folks give a rat ass about how any of this will impact the city's economy. It is amusing, in a perverse sort of way, however, to see the business scions in league with this philosophy. We really don't see this as a meeting of the minds, but rather as symptomatic of the toady effect that the mayor has on these neutered folks-When the mayor says jump, they simply say, "How High?"
Congestion Truckulence
In the Courier story the paper gets a response to the mayor's plan from the Fresh Direct company, the firm that delivers groceries into many Manhattan neighborhoods. What the FD folks underscored was that the $21 dollar truck fee would have almost zero impact on congestion: "Ultimately, charges for trucks delivering into Manhattan, whether to residential homes or to retail locations, will be shouldered by city residents...the only effect on fees for commercial vehicles will be higher prices for New Yorkers."
Now Fresh Direct is a well financed company with relatively deep pockets. There are, however, thousands of smaller distributors and contractors who will be burdened if not crippled by this new tax; another reason why the whole plan needs a cost-benefit analysis.
Subway Crowding Dismissed
But as Councilman David Weprin told the NY Daily News, "He doesn't take it from Queens...The F Train on 179th Street is so overcrowded from Queens into Manhattan-it's ridiculous." But the clueless chief executive continues to do his best Chico Marx imitation: "Who are you going to believe, me or you own lying eyes?" The mayor kept questioning where the capacity figures came from, and at the press conference that opponents held outside of city hall yesterday Committee spokesperson Walter McCaffrey told reporters, "You know those are the statistics of the MTA..."
Which brings us to the red herring that proponents of the congestion plan have begun to emphasize more in their desperation to get more of the tax payers money-the fare increase. Key advocate for this point of view is the Straphangers Gener Russianoff. As he told Metro, the need to keep the fare in line made the mayor's congestion plan a "no brainer."
It always is for the tax and spend crowd, but this congestion scheme is desperately in need of a good accountant. There have been so many claims for the congestion plan that it would be useful for some legislative review process to put all of the numbers-the claims and counter-claims-to the test. Who will pay the most, and who will be cut a break because their tolls will defray the congestion fee? If the money is used to keep the fare down, how much will actually be left to build more infrastructure? And finally, if it makes sense to tax more for these purposes, then is it fair for middle class commuters to shoulder the greater share of the responsibility?
One thing's for sure. The mayor, just judging on his comments about subway crowding, is no reliable source of information, nor can he be considered an honest broker for this deal. As the NY Post editorializes this morning, the mayor has once again compromised his credibility: "We've tentatively backed that plan. But let's face it: it's no quick or surefire cure to Gotham's transit ills. New Yorkers need to know that motorists who give up their cars will have a civilized alternative to get in and out of Manhattan."
And who can believe anything that a dysfunctional MTA has to say, Just one day after saying that. "There's no room at the inn," TA head Roberts-finally getting the right talking points-"backpeddled-saying that 100,000 ex-motorists would not add significantly to transit ridership." As the Post says, the mayor's "let-them-eat-MetroCards" attitude will get him fried on the third rail; just where his scheme and a unreliable MTA belongs.
Wednesday, June 27, 2007
Pressing Congestion
The law makers, led by State Senator Carl Kruger and Assemblyman Rory Lancman-along with council members Melinda Katz, David Weprin, Vinnie Gentile, Mike Nelson and Tony Avella-are deeply concerned, and press reports confirm these fears, that the current transit infrastructure is unable to handle the additional 90,000 or so riders who will be forced to shift to the trains and buses should the tax be adopted.
In addition, law makers are worried that the full consequences of the plan-its costs as well as its benefits-have not been adequately evaluated since the proposal has not undergone any independent review. Also, proponents of the plan such as the Straphangers Gene Russianoff are arguing that the money generated will be essential for keeping the fare at the current $2.
There is, however, only a finite amount of money here, and with the mayor championing expansion of services and Russianoff promoting the fare subsidy, it's hard to see how the tax could accomplish both tasks. In the end it is simply a tax, and any expanded transit service would only be available for the grandchildren of the current riders.
Tuesday, June 26, 2007
Congestion Plan Getting IRTible
As the NY Times is reporting this morning, Howard Roberts the TA head, is telling one and all that his system is overloaded and will be so for the foreseeable future: "' From my point of view this is scary...This is scary in the sense that right now, on a lot of these lines, we're several years and a big construction project away from being able to provide what I consider adequate service. We're constrained.'"
As Roberts went on to say, "'There's no room at the inn.'" Clearly, the cart of congestion pricing has been placed before the horse of transit improvement, and has many riders tell us the system needs more trains. To make the logical leap from that assumption to the support of the $600 million a year congestion tax makes little sense. Yet, this is precisely what the mayor and his minions continue to do-yesterday down in Washington making a show for the federal dollars that no one knows will ever be forthcoming.
The mass transit overcrowding in New York has reached critical proportions. Roberts tells the NY Daily News that, "'To the extent that people are diverted to the subway system and they want to ride the nos. 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and E (lines), it's bad news.'" Now the mayor's spokesman says that the city agrees with this assessment and that is why it is promoting its tax scheme.
If that's the case then we need to ask whether it makes sense to impose an expensive, complicated-and unfair-tax system in order to improve the city's mass transit infrastructure? And, do we need to impose the tax years before riders will be able to see any relief? Certainly, as the NY Sun reports this morning, we shouldn't be seeing the mayor's folks putting contracts out to bid for a plan that hasn't been approved.
All of which means that the mayor's rush to enact this plan is unwise and should be rejected. This entire process has been characterized by an almost total suspension of disbelief among editorial writers and so-called good government groups. The mayor has harnessed the anti-motorist sentiment of much of the environmental community and, in the dishonest name of clean air, looks to whack middle class and working class New Yorkers with yet another tax on living in the city.
Monday, June 25, 2007
Columbia's Wreckage
The Post story also reports on the strong comments on eminent domain from CB#9 chair Reyes-Montblanc. He tells the paper that, "'They won't get one square inch under eminent domain...If the area seems distressed and unoccupied, it's because it belongs to Columbia. They own it and they emptied it out.'"
The ED situation is complicated by the fact that the firm doing the "blight" study for the state, AKRF, is also retained by the university for its environmental review-a conflict of interest that has been brought to the attention of the courts and awaits a ruling shortly. Reyes-Montblanc also chastised the university for its proposed eviction of 132 residential units on the west side of Broadway-something that the university said they have an "unequivocal commitment" to resolving."
There ism, however, nothing unequivocal in the Columbia plan except the university's unbridled pursuit of its own self-interest. If that weren't so then Columbia would be announcing plans foe hundreds of new units of affordable housing for a community that is desperate to stave off further gentrification. Unfortunately, that's a commitment that the university doesn't have the integrity to make.
Behind the Times
This, as we have pointed out, is simply not true. There not only is no deadline, there is likely no federal money either: it is all a chimera conjured up by a starry eyed mayor who has miraculously turned green before our very eyes. The Times compounds its errors by alleging that approval of the mayor's plan would prevent the transit fare from increasing, "maybe as much as 50 percent." Maybe the Times will next tell us that the congestion tax scheme will be a cure for ED as well.
Fortunately, not every one listens to the salons at the Times. In today's NY Sun, Councilman David Weprin lashes out at the mayor's plan, and underscores the hypocritical use of poor children and asthma as a selling point: "What I find equally disingenuous about the proposal is the argument that congestion pricing would be good for the environment. In fact, it does nothing to address the prevalence of background pollutants found with greater frequency in areas such as Long Island City, East Harlem, Bed-Stuy, the South Bronx, and Jamaica."
The Post's Fred Dicker puts this story into the proper perspective when he points out that Governor Spitzer, failing to exercise proper due diligence over the mayor's plan, "has turned his administration into an extension of city hall" (something that the Times has been doing for the past five years). All of which makes making a deal harder to envision next month.
Is Wal-Mart Kosher?
What the Times story highlights is the fact that the normal reasons for opposing the Walmonster are also present in the Monsey situation-traffic, crime, harm to small business, and anti-labor policies. What makes the Monsey situation somewhat unique is the way these issues are filtered through a religious prism.
Monsey's religious residents are concerned that the giant store will undermine their community's quality of life-a walk-to-shop environment that is characterized by strong religious sentiments. As Yossi Weinberger told the Times, "The reason a lot of us came to Monsey is because we wanted to raise our families ia a safe place, away from the influences of the outside world..."
The Times also points out that a single elderly resident (our beloved Mrs. Marshansky), moved by the threat of Wal-Mart, gathered a thousand petitions against the store in only four days; "Around the same time, religious school administrators distributed fliers to students and their parents under the headline 'Be Aware.'" The paper goes on to point out that articles and advertisements against Wal-Mart have been running in the local Jewish press.
It is also important to point out that one of the Alliance's staunchest allies, Joseph Kizelnick, is featured on the front picture and represents the vibrant local retail economy that will be threatened with extinction should Wal-Mart's effort to build a super center in Monsey be successful. As Kizelnick told the Times, "...if we get together as a group, as a community, we can win this battle."
And it is beginning to look like it just might be possible to do just that. The traffic analysis of the Alliance's Brian Ketcham, work that predicts that the store would add 16,000 additional vehicles on the average weekday, is beginning to sink in with the town of Ramapo. Supervisor St. Lawrence's comments to the Times illustrate this point: "My concern is with traffic, and for a regional store like the one being proposed, we need a regional solution, and that's not something you can solve with a few stoplights."
This is as close as St. Lawrence has come to indicate that the town may be moving to vote down the proposed super center. The voting strength of the Orthodox community is noted: "The community is considered a powerful voting bloc, so in an election year, officials have been careful not to alienate its members" (St. Lawrence is up for re-election this year).
It should be noted, however, that the African-American mayor of Spring Valley also opposes Wal-Mart, as does the Working Families Party and the locals of the UFCW. This is a large coalition against the Walmonster and we're hopeful that the electeds of the Town of Ramapo will recognize this and do the right thing: send Wal-Mart packing.
Sunday, June 24, 2007
Need to Fight Fat
Clearly, something needs to be done here: "As BP Carrion says, "It doesn't take a health expert to realize that unless we get these kids exercising and on the right nutritional track now, we are going to be dealing with this issue 20 years from now when they are obese adults." And one elected official is doing just that. As we have been commenting all along, Joel Rivera, in collaboration with Dr. Mehmet Oz's Health Corps, is trying to reverse this frightening trend.
Rivera's obesity initiative received over three million dollars from the council budget, with the Health Corps getting over two million of the appropriation. The purpose of the HC is to create a sea change in health attitudes among the city's young people. The program targets high school kids because its goal is to create health activists who will become advocates for change in their communities.
In this way, the HC can become an important catalyst for school-based as well as community-based health initiatives. Often these other health programs are missing the kind of activist mindset that will energize participation at the local level. This hearts and minds side of the equation is the necessary complement to larger policy initiatives. We are happy to be part of this effort.
The High Cost of Congestion
Still, it is clear that the ultimate bill for the lobbying effort in support of the proposed tax scheme will run into the millions of dollars-outspending opponents by better than 15-1. The NYC Partnership, "has spent $1 million to research and promote the plan," while the Metropolitan Taxi Board has been spending $10,000 a month for the past two years for lobbying fees in support of congestion pricing. Add to this, Pat Lynch's $15,000/month from the Environmental Defense Fund and $300,000 spent by traditional outsiders like Transportation Alternatives, and we have the most unusual array of political bedfellows shilling for the congestion tax.
But, as the chart in the News shows (not seen in the electronic edition), the clear losers if this plan were to go into effect would be the middle class commuters from the outer boroughs who will be paying the full congestion tax freight, while their well-heeled fellow commuters from the suburbs will be getting the toll-based discount. In addition, as the chart points out, small contractors and distributors who must come into the CBD to do business will be taxed unfairly-since the new toll will not keep their trucks from the roads they need to travel in order to simply stay in business.
But Kates misses the even larger "riches" that the mayor's plan is generating. As we have pointed out already, the mayor is running a veritable smorgasbord of municipal goodies for those electeds who join with him in support of the plan-and many of these folks represent districts whose residents are strongly opposed to the new tax. If and when this pork barrel auction is exposed, there will be a lot of politicians with a little more than just egg on their faces.
Saturday, June 23, 2007
Community Rallies Against Columbia
Some of this emotion can be evinced in the recent article in Indymedia that highlights the community's sense that it is being railroaded. Reporting on the recent protest in front of City Planning, the paper cites community protester Tom Klappner; "We'll just stand here until you arrest us." The larger group began chanting, "127th Street-Not for sale. 128th Street-Not for sale."
All of the vitriol stems from the arrogance of a supposedly progressive institution using their political muscle to bogart legitimate community interests. The summer certification simply underscored what the community knew all along: Columbia's self-interest is the ultimate bottom line; and the concern that its professoriat shows for the less fortunate is purely a cover for the less savory reality that it serves to hide.
This is the kind of blatant hypocrisy that an English author once referred to when he called such progressive thinkers "herbivores."
In short, for the herbivores, or gentle ruminants, who look out from the lush pastures which are there natural station in life with eyes full of sorrow for less fortunate creatures, guiltily conscious of their advantages, though not usually ceasing to eat the grass.
Congestion Contention Unresolved
In particular, as Silver told the Daily News, he has "lingering questions about the plan, including the disproportionate impact it would have on drivers entering Manhattan from Brooklyn and other boroughs." Shelly pointed out that it is precisely those less affluent borough residents who would be paying the full $8 dollar a day tax; while the more well-off commuters coming in from, let's say, New Jersey, would have the tax deducted from their daily toll.
In talking with a number of city council members who remain opposed to the mayor's plan we're hearing two discordant themes. In the first place, there are a number of law makers who have seen the mayoral push for a congestion tax as an opportunity to mimic Monty Hall in "Let's Make a Deal." As some members have said, the willingness of the mayor to hold a public auction and the number of eager council participants means that there is less of a clamor for proper legislative oversight-a persistent theme with this council.
The lack of council oversight was raised in a conversation with Brooklyn council member Vinnie Gentile. The council member asked us why some restaurant owner needed to go through an entire environmental review if he wanted to put a couple of extra tables out in front of his eatery; yet somehow a vast mayoral taxing and driving scheme, ostensibly aimed at creating a cleaner environment, needed no EIS or council oversight. Not even a home rule message?
Which brings us back to the possible return of the legislature in mid-July. If the serious questions about the disparate impacts and over all environmental effectiveness of the mayor's plan have not been properly addressed-not to mention the problematic nature of the availability of federal funds-than there is no reason to move this proposal forward; certainly not with the undue hast that the mayor has been urging.
Friday, June 22, 2007
Congestive Traffic Failure-II
Silver went on to say that the mayor "insists he is the city," and never properly vetted the plan by taking it to the City Council for review. In addition, Shelly denied to the Post that he had ever signed off on the governor's proposal to set up a congestion commission to devise and implement the congestion pricing scheme; "'I did not agree to that,' Silver said."
In spite of yesterday's failure, Governor Spitzer vowed to keep pressing for a mid-July deal in order to "make New York eligible" for $500 million in federal transportation money. Billy Hammond reports that "all sides are holding out hope" that a deal can be reached. Yet, it appears to us that this likelihood has been made dimmer by the mayor's dramatic party switching.
As the NY Daily News reports this morning, "This was probably not Mayor Bloomberg's idea of bipartisanship when he quit the Republican party: Lawmakers on both sides think it could make it tougher for New York to win federal dollars." Congressman Serrano said it best when, commenting on the president and his party's likely reaction to the mayor's defection he remarked; "Why would they want to help him?"
The prospects of any deal being reached in July are also exacerbated by the apparent bad blood being exhibited between Joe Bruno and the governor. The accusations being tossed don't allow for the kind of atmosphere that is conducive to deal making. Add Shelly into the mix and the situation is truly challenging.
With all of the deadline desperation removed from the equation, however, isn't it time to set up an appropriate framework for reviewing the mayor's plan? The submission of the proposal to a full environmental review would be a good first step. In our view, the more the plan gets scrutinized the more average New Yorkers are going to see it for what it is: a taxing scheme that is an unnecessary burden, one whose transportation goals could be accomplished in a less intrusive yet more effective manner.
Thursday, June 21, 2007
Poor Choices
Leaving aside the philosophical merits of this experiment for a moment, can anyone envision what it would take to monitor these proposed behavioral incentives? Just when the welfare rolls are diminishing, Bloomberg is ready to introduce a multi-billion dollar cash transfer nexus that is going to make all of the folks over at DC 37 absolutely orgasmic. Think of the thousands of workers this will necessitate. The potential for fraud will be nigh unimaginable.
And now for the philosophical message. Gelinas once again puts her finger on the essence of the problem. The mayor's program actually singles out the poor people who are behaving badly for a municipal reward. What about the thousands of poor folks who are behaving well? Will they be eligible as well for a cash benefit? And how will we distinguish among all of these folks? What societal message are we sending to those the kids who are currently going to school, using their library cards and taking their tests?
As we have commented before, this initiative fits in to the patronizing and elitist mindset that the mayor has become famous for. His menu labeling regulation-the posting of calorie counts at fast food restaurants-devolves from the inherent belief that those folks can't be expected to act well in their own interest without the help of their betters. This comes dangerously close to the colonial "white man's burden" philosophy.
As public policy it is an unmitigated disaster waiting to happen. It will, if implemented as a governmental program when this pilot ends, erode personal responsibility and once again make the government handout the expected benchmark of political participation for the city's poor. And this guy wants to be president?
Columbia Compromised
Well, while its true that the community's plan would only give the university about 13% of the acreage it says that it needs for expansion, it is also true that a compromise proposal could incorporate aspects of both plans. There is no compelling reason, absent avarice, to simply turn the entire 18 acre parcel over to Columbia.
Wednesday, June 20, 2007
Mayor's Autocracy Fought
In fact, the opposition is so intense that the general feeling coming out of the caucus meeting was that the congestion tax, "is likely dead for good," since so many members vehemently oppose the measure "on principle." This large contingent sees the tax as simply "class warfare against the middle class." Speaker Silver's take here is that congestion can be alleviated without resort to the mayor's tax plan.
Opponents of the concept are not, however, resting on any assumption that this deal is dead. Today, a contingent of Queens civic groups, led by the indomitable Corey Bearak, are joining with Councilman David Weprin at 11:00 AM to march from the foot of the Brooklyn Bridge to City Hall for a press conference denouncing the congestion tax. More of these protests will follow to insure that the mayor's scheme doesn't re-emerge, in Freddy Kruger-like fashion, in a special session in July.
Fast Food Regs-Not so Fast
And not only that. The requirement that the 2300 fast food outlets that had already been providing customers with nutritional information in the city should now post calorie contents of their offerings right up on their menus and menu boards, is not based on any public health evidence that the regulation would have any impact on healthier customer choice.
It is all part of a big brother mentality that believes that fast food customers aren't smart enough to make healthy choices without the government's heavy-handed intervention. In effect, as the suit contends, the health department is conducting a large-scale social science experiment to see if the posting of calories will lead to healthier eating. It is doing so, however, by forcing the fast food franchisees of the city-and only these operators (since the other 90% of the restaurants are exempt)-to spend tens of millions of dollars so the city can run its public health experiment.
All of which is sad, because Councilman Joel Rivera has introduced legislation that would allow for the collaboration between the industry and the city in developing better methods for getting nutritional information to fast food customers. The DOH and council leadership has resisted this compromise effort, the lawsuit is the inevitable result of the city's unwillingness to be reasonable. Now the resolution of the issue goes into the courts, instead of the political arena where it could have been resolved if the city had not been so intransigent.
Tuesday, June 19, 2007
Columbia's ULURP Begins
The community board now has 60 days to consider the plan after CPC rejected the community's call for further delay so that CB#9 wouldn't have to act on this application in the summer while many people are away. CPC spokeswoman Rachaele Raynoff told the Times that a two week delay had already been granted which, considering that the final disposition would be pushed to the middle of August, amounts to little more than ice in the winter (or heat in the summer). This issue will certainly heat up in the next few weeks as Columbia prepares to bring its act to the community board.
Willets Point: A Pig in a Poke
At last week's council hearings, this skepticism was voiced by anumber of key council members. It will be interesting to see just how strongly the council remains once the mayor's key ally across city hall weighs in on all of this.
London Assumptions Falling Down
In particular, there is a clear indication, as we have been warning, that the plan will seriously hurt small businesses who need to deliver to, or service customers in, the congestion zone: "But while most have sought ways to avoid having to pay, some-like contractors and deliverymen-have had no choice. 'I spend two hundred pounds {about $400} a week on it, 'said Paul Bowles, who runs a custom window installation business. 'You have to roll that onto your clients...'"
What is remarkable here is that the city of London has never bothered to do any kind of economic impact analysis on the congestion tax plan. And of course the mayor, in his full court press for the New York version, abjures any real in-depth evaluation of any of the potential negative consequences of the plan.
Yet without this kind of analysis it is difficult to make any accurate judgements about the benefits of the mayor's grand scheme-for without a cost ledger, the real impact of the idea simply cannot be judged. And when we add to this, the phony enviro-asthma posturing of Mayor Mike, we should all be glad that Shelly Silver, along with New Jersey Governor Corzine, is exercising caution.
Which brings us to the larger issue of mayoral motivation. As the plan moves inexorably forward (in spite of the public's deep skepticism-see new Q-Poll); with a momentum resulting from the tremendous confluence of political power and money, it is important to step back and contemplate where this born-again environmental tsunami is coming from. Our answer is quite simple: this is all part of a unique special interest crusade. That special interest is enveloped in the mayor's hubris; an arrogance that is pushing him to promote a concept that will be useful in marketing Team Bloomberg on the national stage.
Choking on the Mayor's Rationale
This hypocritical stance is brought out this morning in Andrew Wolf's incisive column in today's NY Sun. Wolf, however, takes the issue a step further by questioning the "junk science" behind the asthma-auto pollution nexus. He rightfully points out that scientists have underscored the fact that the etiology of asthma is found in insect and rodent infestation and not from auto emissions. This doesn't mean that auto-induced pollution is good for you, just that the asthma fear mongering is not something that Dr. Bloomberg should be doing.
But Wolf, taking up our initial point here, also makes the point that Bloomberg's use of this scare tactic contradicts the mayor's economic development efforts-something that Wolf supports unreservedly: "By buying into similar arguments, the mayor undermines his own initiatives." Which only serves to further highlight the degree to which the mayor's new found greenness is pure bunk; and is designed to create an appealing national narrative in the furtherance of Bloomberg's own political ambitions.
Monday, June 18, 2007
Certifiable
What this June certification date means is that the final community board disposition of the project will be timed for some time in August, a timing that the community sees as purposeful and designed to minimize opposition at the neighborhood level. What remains true here is that the university, renowned for its "progressive values," is moving forward with its plan, paying Bill Lynch $40,000 a month to do the bogarting; and doing it against the wishes of the members of the community board and the neighborhood activists of CPC.
All of this is being done without any proposal to provide affordable housing to a community that has experienced significant displacement as a result of gentrification, a process that will inevitably be exacerbated by the Columbia plan. The threat is severe enough to prompt BP Stringer to propose a zoning plan of his own to counteract the impact of the university's expansion. The Stringer plan has been endorsed by Congressman Rangel as well.
As we have said before, while the Stringer plan is a worthy gesture, it misdirected: the real focus should be on the Columbia plan itself, and not just the after shock. Which is why the university should be forced to include a significant affordable housing component in its plan, one that also allows existing businesses to stay in the neighborhood that they have employed local residents for the past three decades. Until the plan is modified, it should be resisted by all of the area's elected officials.
Composite Error
It now appears that the state senate, looking for synthesis, is about to-if successful in its efforts to craft a compromise bill on congestion taxing-achieve composite error. If the report coming from the indefatigable Liz Benjamin is true, the senate has proposed a compromise that would sunset the "pilot" in three years, and create a new "congestion board" that would replace the SMART Authority that would have given the mayor complete control over all of the money.
All of which is lauded by Senator Marty Golden, a man we've known for over twenty years and, until now, have never known him to be as gullible as he is appearing on this issue. For him to call this a "great bill" is a slap in the face of his Bay Ridge constituents-and the rest of South Brooklyn as well. We can usually count on Golden to stand strong on tax subterfuges like the congestion plan, and can only wonder at what has prompted the about face.
In any case, the compromise is by no means a done deal, even with Malcolm Smith promising to deliver 12 votes from his caucus. The real question here, as Liz points out, is how many votes Bruno can deliver from the majority. And of course, where Shelly stands on the bill remains unknown.
Richard Brodsky, one of the mayor's staunchest critics in the assembly on the issue, told the Daily News that, "You never rule anything out...But the problem is the fundamental defects in the plan haven't been worked out." One being the fact that it is a $600 million a year tax (not including the residential parking fees that have yet to be set) that hasn't even been shown to be efficacious at accomplishing its main supposed goal: reducing congestion and pollution.
One final note here. The NY Sun is reporting that Speaker Quinn, silent on this issue up until now, will be stumping for the mayor's plan while he is away in California. It will be interesting to see how the Quinn-Weiner battle plays out in all of this; and if the Manhattan speaker, supporting a tax on Queens, Brooklyn, the Bronx and Staten Island residents, will be able to resonate any kind of appeal outside of a rather narrow range of voters.
Voice of the People: Congestion Tax
Let's take a moment to analyze this position. For the past two months-not really a great deal of time to evaluate a grandiose $600 million a year scheme-various elected officials have been asked to support a complex and radically innovative plan that will heavily tax their constituents. They've been asked within the context of what amounts to little more than a policy bum's rush-with the mayor trying to panic everyone to act swiftly before a federal windfall is no longer available to the city (A windfall that is $100 million less than a single year's tax collection under the mayor's plan).
The complex plan is being reviewed and legislators are now being asked by the News to put up an alternative to the mayor's scheme or simply shut up and go along with the plan that they have found to be flawed. This is not a tenable position; and it is why the entire plan needs to be subjected to a full environmental review? Within the context of a review there will be opportunity to devise alternatives to the mayor's taxing proposal.
Demonstrating its lack of responsible journalistic oversight, the News goes on to cite the poll that was done by the supporters of the mayor's plan as proof that, "most New Yorkers support the plan when fully informed about how it works..." This is sheer nonsense. The Queens Civic Congress, a grass roots umbrella group that represents scores of local community groups, has just picked up additional support from the Queens Coalition for Parks and Green Space, as well as CAGE (Citizens Against Graffit Everywhere), which means that the grass roots belong to the opponents of the mayor's plan-and we've just begun to organize.
We can get a real glimpse of the voice of the people in yesterday's NY Post, where letter writers inundated that paper with criticisms of its support for the Bloomberg's tax. Most of the respondents hit upon the theme that the pricing scheme was simply another way for the city to take away hard earned money from its citizens.Given the fact that New York's tax burden has reached a record high, you'd think the folks at the Daily News would be a bit less eager for another levy-no matter how worthy the alleged cause.
Universally, the Post letter writers expressed complete skepticism over the assertion that the money raised would even go to mass transit; As one savvy New Yorker wrote:"This will be just like when they said that lottery proceeds were going to help the schools...Whose pockets are going to get lined with this new tax on an already overtaxed city?"
And another New Yorker really hit it square when he told the paper; "Only in New York would people believe that the money generated from the commuter tax will be spent responsibly on improving mass transit." He goes on the correctly call the tax measure a "feel good" effort that "only works in people's minds."
With the numerous and serious kinds of questions that the Bloomberg tax raises, and the all speed ahead approach from the mayor's side, it is quite funny to see the Daily News criticizing the legislature for giving the scheme a "quickie" hearing. Hey, wake up there on 33rd Street. Was the legislature given more time for proper deliberation? The time frame here is all because of the mayor's inappropriate pushing of a plan that has not been given proper due diligence.
Put simply, the mayor's plan is a flawed approach that raises more environmental and fiscal issues than it answers. Will congestion be significantly reduced by the $8 and $21 tax? Will those taxes rise if the congestion remains at or about current levels? Can congestion be reduced in a comparable way without taxing certain New Yorkers $600 million a year? What guarantees exist that transportation infrastructure will be upgraded significantly enough, and in a reasonable period of time? What about the "hot spots" that exist in other parts of the city where asthma rates are really much higher than in the CBD?
So the News is right. This plan deserves more than a "quickie" hearing." However, we trust the letter writers to the NY Post a lot more than the bien pensants of the permanent government; and a mayor who wants to use a "feel good" measure to boost his national political ambitions.
Saturday, June 16, 2007
Restaurants Sue DOH
The legal basis of the suit is twofold: in the first place, arguing preemption, the lawyers at Arnold and Porter say that the federal Nutrition Labeling and Education Act (NLEA) gives exclusive authority to the FDA to regulate the purveying of any nutritional information at "away-from-home" food outlets. Secondly, the suit argues that the rule's rigid requirement violates the free speech rights of the businesses effected, since it compels the fast food outlets to convey a nutritional message that they feel is both misleading and erroneous.
In arguing preemption, the suit contends that only the FDA has the legal authority to implement rules for the dissemination of nutritional information at restaurants. It further points out that the FDA has expressly encouraged a flexibility in the approaches taken by restaurants since, "there is no one 'right way' to communicate this information."
The law suit recreates the arguments that the industry first brought in December when the rule was first promulgated. In particular, it was emphasized at the time, that the narrow focus on calories and the restriction of the regulation to only those restaurants that actually provide nutritional information to their customers, would not enable the city to accomplish its stated goal of reducing obesity.
In addition, it was pointed out that the DOH had absolutely no evidence that calorie posting would be efficacious and lead consumers to make better nutritional choices. As the law suit points out, "In fact, the Department of Health acknowledges that it has no idea whether Section 81.50 would have any effect on health...In response to one of the public comments that it received, questioning whether the Regulation would achieve its stated goal, the Department of Health acknowledged that 'the health impact of calorie labeling will be evaluated...'"
In essence, as the suit argues, the city is attempting a "social experiment" to determine whether the alleged benefits of calorie posting will be borne out in the real world. DOH's ex post fact efficacy study underscores this point; and even the studies that it relies on to "demonstrate" why calorie posting should be tried only indicate that there may be "potential health benefits."
All of the public health authorities (and even the researchers that the city relies on) point out that calorie posting has limitations; yet the DOH's initiative will quell a more comprehensive nutritional information dissemination in favor of a rigid "one size fits all" regulation that will likely confuse much more than it will educate. Meanwhile, if left unimpeded, the regulation will cost NYC businesses over $40 million in compliance costs.
Which is why the legislative initiative of Council Health Chair Joel Rivera made the most sense. The bill, which would replace regulation by legislation-a more appropriate method for something this extreme, would allow restaurants a greater flexibility in getting nutrition facts to their customers, and would also create a methodology whereby restaurants that aren't included in the DOH edict could begin to develop methods to inform their patrons on health.
The Rivera bill, however, was not even accorded a hearing. In essence the Council through its inaction is ceding legislative authority to an unelected board of health. For this and other reasons that we have outlined, the lawsuit by the industry is a welcome breathe of fresh air in a stifling political climate for local businesses.
Bloomberg: "Show Me The--What Money?
All of the uncertainty has come from the skepticism shown by Oregon Congressman Peter DeFasio, chair of a powerful transportation subcommittee, that the $500 million is even available for NYC. DeFasio wrote the the mayor a questioned, "the expectation that the federal government would ever deliver those funds." Well, we questioned it all along, never understanding why people suspended their disbelief over the eagerness of the Bush administration to help this city.
All of which is making Shelly Silver look pretty good for his desire to exercise a degree of caution-and some due diligence-over the mayor's plan. This is a complex proposal that cries out for a great deal of scrutiny; it is certainly not a policy that should be fast tracked because of the urgent need to take some federal handout-especially when there's no iron clad guarantee that the hand will be out when the city puts its tax in place.
In addition, we need to have the press act more vigilantly in regards to this proposal-in particular, a more thorough review of the mayor's methods and motives. After all, this is a billionaire mayor who has been lauded for being above the so-called special interests, and the normal morass of backroom political dealings. We know for a fact, however, that the mayor has been wheeling and dealing like an old ward boss in order to entice every last assemblyman and state senator to come out in support of the tax.
Which, by the way, is not something that we have any moral objection to. It is something that deserves scrutiny because it puts the mayor in a totally different light; and when seen in the context of his complete about face on environmental issues, the whole dramatic production deserves to be gone over with a fine tooth comb (Especially when we see our real estate scions lip-locked with the grunges from the environmental justice groups).
Put simply, Kermit the mayor has, through his shopping center and box store building (not to mention his proposal to put a football stadium in the Far West Side of Manhattan), added tens of thousands of tons of CO2 emissions into the city. Now, are we to believe that the mayor has gotten religion all of a sudden? That the outcasts of the environmental movement are now to be given favored spots at the mayoral banquet?
Which brings us directly to motive. The mayor is building an environmental and public health platform in preparation for running for national office. On paper, and with hundreds of millions of dollars to spend, this traffic reduction scheme will look like a winner. It simply doesn't matter whether it works well, or is efficient at accomplishing its stated goals of cleaning our air. When the dust settles on all of this, the mayor's quixotic national quest will be long over; and New Yorkers, in spite of what the NY Post inexplicably says, will still be paying for its folly- unless wiser heads prevail.
Friday, June 15, 2007
Queens Pols Congested Over Tax
Leading the Queens charge is Assemblyman Rory Lancman who told the Courier that "it is somewhat irresponsible on the mayor's part to drop this radical, comprehensive and complicated plan on the legislature's desk two weeks before the end of the session." Lancman also points out that we don't need a congestion tax to fix the city's traffic mess.
The editorial concludes with the observation that; "The plan raises so many questions and provides few answers. Administration and enforcement will be a nightmare." The paper than asks its reader to call 311 and tell the mayor what he can do with his congestion tax.
The Queens Chronicle also has an interesting article on the controversy. In it, the paper cites the fact that only two Queens electeds support the mayor's plan. The article quotes Assemblyman Ivan Lafayette that, "He fears that the enactment of congestion pricing will wreak havoc in residential areas and transportation hubs." Audrey Pheffer from Far Rockaway said that the plan would hurt small businesses: "She said that the toll on small businesses could devastate the city's economy."
All of which should be seen as a warning to Bronx BP Carrion who, toadying to the mayor's whims, has just come out in favor of the plan. This after he failed to unequivocally oppose the auto-dependent Wal-Mart, and after he supported the asthma-rich Gateway Mall on the grave site of the old Bronx Terminal Market. Adolfo better watch his back-the Diaz family may be coming after him, and Brooklyn and Queens voters aren't going to respond kindly to his lack of concerns for their interests.
Atlantic Yards Lessons
As Holt highlights, the emotions ran raw and an absolutist-"No Way"- mentality was rampant. So much so that, "the kind of discourse that should have happened never took place until far too late in the process." In addition, as Holt observes, "The whole form and feeling of the 'other side' got out of hand."
What was missing in all of this was an honest broker who could represent the community interests. The reason for the absence was that the mood in the community that coalesced around Develop Don't Destroy wasn't looking for any compromise that would have allowed the Nets to come to Brooklyn-the linchpin of the entire development.
So at the end of this long process, the opponents have their fruitless lawsuits, but little else. Knowing Bruce Ratner as well as I do (since I work for him on this development), I know that he was ready to listen to anyone who was willing to be reasonable. On the other hand, if you believe in all of your heart that a project will never be in the community's benefit, then you can't be reasonably expected to negotiate a community benefits agreement.
That's fair enough; but if a project is moving forward with broad support you risk it all by simply placing your body in the path of an oncoming train. It might feel both righteous and heroic, but in the end its a futile romantic gesture.
Thursday, June 14, 2007
Take Out the Papers and the Trash Plan
Which is exactly what we predicted over a year ago when we said that the plan, built as it was on a house of cards that depended on approvals for two controversial facilities, was doomed to failure. What no one has looked at, however, is the fact that the mayor's "comprehensive" trash removal plan doesn't have a single realistic method for reducing the amount of garbage that is exported. At the end of the day, all the plan does is distribute the pain rather than accomplishing the more significant reduction in trash exports
From Congestion to Political Gridlock
Instead we witnessed an unprecedented rush to embrace the plan-from business people with no previously acknowledged concerns about the environment, to politicians who appeared to be more interested in currying support from the mayor than in examining the impact of a congestion tax. The one sole major political figure that stood out against this stampede was Speaker Shelly Silver.
Silver's opposition, derided on the editorial pages as "obstructionism," was grounded on many of the principle objections that opponents of the congestion tax had been raising. The most important concern in our mind was Shelly's insistence that the plan not move forward without a more thorough review. Given their leader's strong stand, the Assembly's Democratic caucus began to rally against the rush to judgement.
In an article in today's NY Post, it now appears that the opposition has coalesced and the Assembly appears ready to put the entire idea on the slow track. At a meeting of the body's Steering Committee, the concerns expressed by the members were too great to allow the mayor's plan to go forward in its "current form."
The concerns expressed ran the gamut, with Ruben Diaz the most eloquent in his defense of the average New Yorkers: "...people feel uncomfortable charging hard working middle-class families extra dollars to come into the city." Assemblywoman Roann Destito simply-and eloquently as well-said that the plan, "is not well thought out."
The younger Diaz is not alone in his family's skepticism. In an editorial in the New York Press, Ruben Diaz, Sr. lashes out against the mayor's plan: "As a State Legislator who is faced with deciding whether or not to approve the Congestion Pricing Plans proposed by the mayor of the City of New York, I must ask: who is really going to benefit from these plans, and who is going to suffer from their impact?"
He further asks, "How can we be assured that these plans won't increase traffic congestion in the Bronx and add more pollution to our already polluted community and further increase the serious and ongoing asthma and respiratory problems that cause our children and families to suffer?" Diaz goes on to raise questions about who will be in charge of the plan's implementation, clearly showing concern about the Carte Blanche nature of the mayor's proposal.
Where this leaves the plan is uncertain, but at least we have a situation developing that will hopefully allow a more deliberative process to unfold; one that is not suborned by the influx of suspect dollars from even more suspect supporters of the mayor's plan. Shelly and his stalwart crew will see to it.
Wednesday, June 13, 2007
Hey Big Spenders
While, on the other side,"Opponents have hired Richard Lipsky, a tireless street fighter who has taken on many quixotic causes over the years..." (Hey Matt, we have one a number of these so-called quixotic battles) So what's new? As Scheurman points out, in spite of all of the hot air coming from the well-financed propaganda effort, most folks in the outer boroughs still oppose the congestion tax; and even the advocate's push poll couldn't get a majority in favor.
So it's the well-financed elites and their new found incongruous friends in the environmental community (the same folks who years ago came down to city hall in masks to protest the incinerator plan) who are pitted against the homeowners and tax payers of the city's neighborhoods. As the anti-tax spokesperson Walter McCaffrey told the Observer, "You have a message that resonates with the public, and their message is not resonating."
The one person who gets it is Speaker Silver. He alone is exhibiting the kind of skepticism that a grandiose tax plan needs to be subjected to. In fact, the whole mayoral effort reminds us of Tom Lehrer's song about National Brotherhood Week, where "Lena Horne and Sheriff Clark are dancing cheek-to-cheek..." (Clark was the infamous Southern racist lawman).
What else can we say about the Partnership, NYPIRG, REBNY, NRDC and EDF all dancing, in effect, cheek-to-cheek. The coalition assembled only serves to raise a great deal of questions about the motivations, policy goals and ulterior motives of some of the group's more powerful members. One thing is for certain: good government is at the bottom of the motivational chart.
Health Corps Wins Support
With the council's support, and over a million dollars raised privately, the Health Corps will be expanding into an additional thirty high schools in the fall. Currently there are nine school programs in place from the first council grant that was allocated last year. In addition, we have had discussions with the State Senate (we are working pro bono for the program) and there is a good chance that five more high schools will be added for the upcoming school year.
The Health Corps will also be working with the DOE and there is a good chance that it will be an integral part of all of the school-based health programs. What the program offers is an active group of young people who can deliver the health message to family, friends, and the wider community.
As we have mentioned before, the HC will also be working in tandem with the DOH's "Healthy Bodega" initiative, helping to market healthier snacks in the city's grocery stores. What the initiative needs is an activist-community component that focuses in on the "demand" side of the healthier eating equation. The Health Corps is uniquely situated to do just that. As part of the community outreach effort we will be looking to partner with Mount Sinai and the East Harlem health organizations; Sinai, and the indefatigable Dr. Barbara Brenner have pioneered health outreach work in this community, and their efforts serve as a model of what should be done in this area.
Tuesday, June 12, 2007
The Best Poll....
It all goes along with what proponents of the plan have said all along: if they can get to pose all of the issues in a way that portrays the mayor's plan honestly (in their view), then we'll find that the people will be supportive. As a corollary to this judgement we should add: If you have enough money to structure the debate in a certain way, and the other side has much fewer resources, than the public's expressed view might actually be made to conform to the prevailing permanent government zeitgeist.
On the other hand, if the public is posed the following questions we wonder what kind of responses a pollster would get:
(1) If we can reduce congestion in the CBD without resorting to a congestion tax-by, for instance, first eliminating all of the government workers with parking permits that travel through the CBD every day, enforcing all of the double parking of limousines, and rigorously penalizing all of those motorists who block the box.Would you prefer this approach?
(2) If imposing the congestion tax is too costly to the city's economy should we look for another method to control congestion? Should we then conduct a full economic impact analysis before we impose a congestion tax?
(3) If a congestion tax system loses 40% of its revenues just to maintain its operation, is this an efficient method to raise money for mass transit? (Imagine a charity that used forty percent of its proceeds to administer its operations)
(4) If asthma rates are heavily concentrated outside of the CBD, shouldn't we be looking to address the problems in these areas before looking to reduce traffic in Midtown?
(5) If the mayor is uncertain whether or not a congestion tax will actually reduce traffic in Midtown, shouldn't we conduct a full environmental review before implementing a congestion tax?
(6) If traffic will actually be diverted to areas that have higher incidences of asthma, then shouldn't we hold off imposing the congestion tax? And isn't this possibility another reason why we need a full environmental review?
(7) The mayor says he won't impose the tax until the appropriate mass transit improvements are made. Shouldn't he be made to list all of these improvements so we can determine whether he has honestly waited for the improvements before any tax is imposed?
(8) Should the congestion tax be made to sunset if, (a) the transit improvements haven't been made; (b) congestion hasn't been reduced to any significant degree, and (c) any mayor in the future tells us that-just like in London- the tax needs to be doubled in order to be effective?
(9) The mayor claims that George Bush's federal government is waiting to give NYC $500 million if the city implements a congestion tax. Should the proposal immediately be rescinded if the money doesn't get sent to New York?
A push poll by any other name is, like the computer folks say, "garbage in, garbage out." Now the mayor and his minions are buying ad time to convince the citizens of the city that a congestion tax will lead to the cure for asthma. Frankly, we know just what Freddy Ferrer must have felt when the billionaire went on the advertising blitzkrieg. But, no mater how you slice it, it's still bologna.
Tarnishing Silver
We can't read the speaker's mind, but the paper's dismissal of Shelly's stated objections to the mayor's plan is much too cavalier. And, by the way, we don't see the Post questioning the real reasons behind the mayor's born again environmentalism-after five year of mega-building that has dumped thousands of additional tons of CO2 emissions on the city.
The crux of the discussion here, as the NY Times story on Silver's objections underscores today, should be on the costs versus the benefits of the mayor's plan. This is something that only Silver has bothered to raise with the skepticism that it deserves. After all we have a tax, ostensibly designed to raise money for mass transit, of which 40% of what is generated in revenues will be siphoned off to administer the compliance system.
If this was a charity all of its officers would be carted off to jail! Isn't there a more effective way to raise funds? Of the $620 million in projected proceeds, almost $300 million goes to administration. And by the time the mayor gets through promising the proceeds to various elected officials-yesterday it was for new Metro North stations in the Bronx, the congestion tax bank account will be seriously overdrawn.
And what about the air quality argument? The traffic reduction foreseen in the plan is so minute that it will reduce emissions in the city by about 0.4% Is this enough to justify the negative business impacts that have been estimated to be close to $690 million a year? Oh, we forgot, no one has even bothered to do the economic impact analysis-not in New York, or even in London where after 4 years there is no definitive analysis of the congestion plan's hit on local businesses.
So the speaker is correct. There are many unanswered questions her, and we expect the Post to exercise a greater degree of caution when elected officials are looking to rifle through our wallets. So please, leave the Silver bashing aside and concentrate on the significant flaws in a grandiose scheme, one concocted to launch the mayor on some kind of quixotic national crusade.
Monday, June 11, 2007
Hi, Ho, Silver!
What is remarkable here is the fact that Silver remains almost alone in his skepticism; and in asking all the right questions of the plan's architects. It is breathtaking to see how such a wide range of political, civic and business leaders are able to completely suspend their disbelief in their speedy leap onto the mayor's faux environmental band wagon.
To the point: Silver questions the whole "Save the Poor Black and Latino Kids from Asthma" mantra when he points out, "We do all have a desire to do something positive about the environment, about preventing children from growing up with asthma. I'm not sure that this congestion pricing hits that, since many of the neighborhoods that have children with asthma are not within the congestion-pricing zone."
Of course, he might also point out that the city has no problem with the East River Plaza Mall and the Gateway Mall-in East Harlem and the South Bronx. Both of these shopping centers will entice New Yorkers into their cars and into neighborhoods that have the highest incidences of asthma (We support East River Plaza and work for the developer, but we're not advocating the "Save the Children" hypocrisy).
As Silver goes on to highlight, there may in fact be a queuing up of cars in some of these at-risk neighborhoods, as commuters look for ways to avoid the congestion tax. Which is precisely why we have said that the whole scheme needs to be independently reviewed for both its cost as well as its efficacy at reducing congestion and greenhouse gas emissions. The only one pushing this at the highest levels is Speaker Silver. More power to him.
Post Taxes Credulity
It does so by saying, "...the plan comes with a huge plus: It stands to throw off big bucks for desperately needed mass-transit projects." How can the paper say this with a straight face. After all, we come to depend on the Post for the kind of skepticism that laughs in the face of claims from elected officials that tax money will be dedicated to this or that specific good works project. It knows from experience how fungible tax money really is.
So why the suspension of disbelief for this tax? Especially so, when the astute Nicole Gelinas points out in the same pages of the Post today how Albany is salivating over the potential windfall; with a looming fare hike as the reason for the surge of political support for the mayor's scheme. As Gelinas indicates, "...it's hard to improve mass transit without fixing the MTA."
The Post should know better, and it apparently does when it points out that, "Make no mistake: Tolls are a tax dressed up in top hat and tails-and normally the last thing the city needs is yet another tax." The paper then goes on, however, to cry out that the city needs to fix its mass transit infrastructure, justifying this exception to the paper's tax cutting consistency.
Is the mayor's transit tax the right way to go? Does the Post really believe the following: "The Bush administration said that New York was poised to win hundreds of millions of dollars in Federal aid if then state passed the plan by August"? Apparently it does, since at the end of the editorial it outlines the risks that the money will be siphoned off, or that the costs of the system would eat up the lion's share of the revenues generated. Risks that the paper says are worth taking.
We don't think so, and we think the overwhelming majority of New Yorkers who disagree on this are right on target. As is Jacob Gershman in his op-ed in this morning's NY Sun. Gershman praises Speaker Silver and points out that he and Richard Brodsky are asking the right questions and are standing righteously in the way of the attempted mayoral stampede.
Gershman rightfully questions the euphoria over the London experience and sees the congestion tax as an ever-ratcheting upward regressive levy that will do little to relieve the congestion it's imposition is supposed to fix. He goes on to point out that this is the same mayor who dismissed all of the critics of the West Side stadium when they worried over the congestion it would generate (not to mention the malling of the city that we have been harping on).
The Post has all but forgotten the editorial that it wrote on June 3rd ("Gridlock Mike") that called on the mayor to do something first about all of the government permitted drivers clogging Manhattan streets. Gershman mentions this as well, and goes on to cite Gelinas' warning about giving more money to the dysfunctional MTA. This entire enterprise cries out for more scrutiny.
Congestion is a serious issue, but it is not a crisis that obviates the need for careful deliberation. There are not only other ways to ameliorate congestion, there are also better ways to raise money for needed mass transit. As for Bloomberg's pledge to not implement the tax until the mass transit improvements are made; well, we might have a bridge overlooking the East River that we can sell to you fairly cheaply.
Saturday, June 09, 2007
Small Business Congested Over Mayor's Plan
Add to this mix the thousands of mid-level accountants, lawyers and other professionals who live outside of Manhattan but work in the CBD, and you have a large cohort of middle class homeowners who will once again, if the mayor's plan goes into effect, be victimized by a city hall taxing scheme. Which is why the plan needs to be put off of the mayoral fast track.
The plan must undergo a thorough and independent environmental as well as socio-economic impact analysis. As Denny Farrell told the mayor, the costs as well as the benefits need to be properly gauged, and that should be done before, not after the plan is implemented. The mayor's description of the plan as a "pilot" is simply a non-starter. It is the kind of temporary measure that reminds us of the 50 year provisional landfill the city placed at Fresh Kills. Sorry, Mike, no one's buying that one.
Legislators Gridlock Congestion Plan
And in a companion piece by Andy Newman, the Times underscore what we have been emphasizing: "Outside Manhattan, Many Oppose Traffic Plan." The more people become aware of the plan's costs, the more outer borough New Yorkers are going to register their discontent. The fact that the mayor, in his testimony yesterday, admitted that the plan might not alter behavior, but will generate funds, is going to make a lot of folks upset. The money quote: "But Bloomberg said the plan is worth trying, even if it doesn't reduce traffic, just for the public transit money."
Which is exactly what most average people believe-the congestion scheme is simply another tax on middle class New Yorkers. Many of those interviewed by the Times found the idea "appalling." As the paper noted: "But it was plainly the very idea of adding yet another expense to the cost of doing business in the city that irritated those who live in New York City, even if they live a considerable distance from Manhattan."
As Assemblyman Richard Brodsky said yesterday, calling the tax "regressive," "If there's a proposal that's fairer, and that's practical, we should adopt it." Clearly, however, most of the assembly folks, reacting "skeptically" to the mayor's plan, don't think that this proposal is the one. And there is certainly no impulse to move quickly either Denny Farrell's comments are to this point: "This is not a time for haste, but for thoughtful consideration." Given all of this we kind of wonder what The Observer was seeing at yesterday's confab.
All of which should mean that Speaker Silver is in no mood to rush, and in fact the Post's Fred Dicker believes that Shelly will kill the plan, seeing it as a back door commuter tax that will hurt his members in Brooklyn and Queens particularly. All of the moaning by the Daily News editorialists on this issue won't change the perceptions of the Speaker, nor will it convince most New Yorkers that this congestion pricing tax makes sense.
Friday, June 08, 2007
Only the People Oppose
What most folks realize is that the plan is little more than a taxing scheme, something that the mayor underscored in his testimony at this morning's Assembly hearings when he told the legislators that, if people's driving habits weren't changed by the fee, then at least the city would have the extra money for mass transit improvements.
But will it really? As City Journal maven Nicole Gelinas points out, once funds are generated they will become irresistable to the bloated and dysfunctional MTA bureaucracy. The MTA and the governor are bound to covet the $400 million a year revenue from congestion pricing, and the mayor's SMART authority will become a quaint memory. If this happens than the congestion tax will be diverted to keeping the fare down, and not to building up the mass transit infrastructure.
It appears, however, that Speaker Silver, along with his conference, is holding the line-for now, and it is likely that the legislature will go out of session at the end of the month without any action on this scheme. That being said, there is little doubt that the mayor, in his quest to out-Gore Al Gore, will continue to push forward. The people still don't have any real clear idea about what all of this means so it's up to the opponents to do the grass roots education.
Some of this has already begun, as yesterday's press conference highlights. The press event was well-covered on the TV side with WCBS, WNBC, WPIX, NY1, WCBS radio, and Univision all coming to the press event and interviewing the seniors who came down to NYU Medical Center with Senator Kruger. What's really interesting is a perusal of the CBS radio blog comments on the issue. They're running about 8-1 against, with most seeing the scheme as an elitist tax.
Another interesting observation is the glib manner that Bloomberg et al, talk about the available Federal money: no congestion tax, no $500 million from Washington. Does anyone believe that the Feds are going to fork over the dough to New York? Bloomberg says he won't implement the tax until the mass transit improvements are in place. If so, What's the rush?
The entire plan cries out for independent review, something that the bought-off consultants that are at the mayor's beck and call won't provide in a million years. The mayor told the Assembly hearing today that it is impossible to gauge all of the impacts until his "pilot" is in place. That sounds like a man that is desperately avoiding independent evaluation of his taxing plan. There is simply no need for unseemly haste here, and to go forward in this manner would be an expensive mistake.
Civil Liberties for Sale
And civil liberties attorney Norman Siegal agrees. He sees the cameras creating a "serious and substantial" civil liberties concern. What does the NYCLU say about all of this? Well, absolutely nothing it seems, because Donna Lieberman was hiding under her desk when the Sun's Annie Karni called her for a comment. Could it be the $10,000 the organization received from the Bloomberg Foundation?
It's hard to see any other explanation since the NYCLU was screaming bloody murder last fall when Speaker Quinn proposed security cameras as part of her comprehensive night life safety bill. Now, however, Lieberman has been stricken with lock jaw, another example of the nefarious influence that Bloomberg's money plays in the city's political process.
AKRF'd Up
In essence, as we have argued before, AKRF (and Columbia by extension) is getting to mark its own exam which, as Siegal points out is inappropriate because "the company can't serve two masters." AKRF's argument that, "there is no conflict because the projects are being handled by two different departments in the planning firm," simply fails the laugh test.
It does, however, in a dramatically glaring fashion underscore what the Manhattan Institute has astutely pointed out about the entire ULURP charade: these consultants are in the tank and can't be depended on for any kind of honest evaluation. Which is another reason why communities are so cynical about the entire phony environmental process.
The environment has nothing to do with any of the outcomes in these land use fights. The review process is pure Kabuki theater and is designed to make believe there is a community consultation. The process, inherently political, needs to be changed so that local neighborhoods that are going to be impacted can have a bigger voice in the outcome.
Which is precisely the point that Councilman Garodnick makes in this morning's NY Post. "Disputes on proposals intensify because communities don't have a chance to share their vision until it's too late. On the Columbia University redevelopment, for one, the local community board chair recently said: 'On a scale of 1 to 10 Columbia is a minus five in terms of trust.'" Garodnick calls for a process that includes the community early on, and points to a project on the East Side that does just that. He goes on to say that, "With communities in the lead, development's future could be one of collaboration-not recrimination."
Which is precisely why the Columbia expansion plan is so flawed. There has been collaboration; perhaps the demographics of West Harlem differentiate it from the East Side and obviate the need to really look to partner with "those people." In any case, the AKRF boondoggle only serves to accentuate that stench that is arising uptown, as the "progressive" forces of Columbia University look to reach out to West Harlem and teach the community its own kind of civics lesson.
Thursday, June 07, 2007
Campaign Finagaling
This is flat out ridiculous as a reform measure. Anyone who lobbies in the city knows full well that labor has a tremendous influence over the course of legislation. And as someone who represents both businesses and labor I have had this factor work to my favor at times, while at other moments it has been an obstacle.
The fact remains that labor is an interest just like any other, and to place it in a sacrosanct position is to skew the legislative process; to the disadvantage of smaller, minority-owned businesses. The bill is flawed and should be either amended to include everyone, or it should be defeated.
Clogging Arteries
The press conference, held as it is on the eve of Assembly hearings on the congestion tax proposal, is designed to demonstrate that in spite of all of the money being poured into the pro-tax effort, the majority of New Yorkers think that the plan is a bad idea. As Councilman Weprin says, "The administration seems not to recognize that a large majority of people must drive into Manhattan and lack a mass transit option."
In typical Wimpy fashion, however, the administration wants folks to pony up the tax before any mass transit improvements are made (hence the Wimpy allusion: "I'd gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today"). This is not a good deal for tax payers, nor is any bargain for anyone living outside of Manhattan. It does appear, however, that many in the Assembly aren't prepared to drink the Kool-Aid on this just yet
Even putative supporters have some major problems with the congestion tax formula. As El Diario said yesterday, "...congestion pricing should {only} move forward with some conditions." And what are these? Well, we need to make sure that neighborhoods like East Harlem do not become a drop-off point for commuters, since this neighborhood has the highest asthma rates in the city.
Yet,here's the rub. Since there is no EIS or concomitant traffic analysis, we just can't be sure that traffic will not either be diverted into, or built up in, East Harlem as well as in other contiguous neighborhoods outside of the zone boundaries. Without theses assurances, and ant traffic analysis should be done by folks who aren't somehow beholden to the mayor or to his administration.
Which all points to the need to slow this process up and devise a methodology for examining all of the potential flaws in the mayor's proposal. This is why, as Channel 2's Marcia Kramer pointed out last night, Governor Spitzer wants to give this idea more time to be properly vetted. As Kramer told her viewers, "Sources told CBS 2 the governor supports the program in theory, but thinks there may be too many unanswered questions to pass the bill in the next few weeks."
Or the next few months for that matter. As Senator Kruger says, "It took London four years to implement its plan and work out the kinks." There are just too many folks (like those at the NY Dail News) ready to buy this pig in a poke, people who have not closely examined the plan's flaws but are all full speed ahead for reasons that transcend pure environmental dedication.
Wednesday, June 06, 2007
Council's Slim-Fast
This sentiment was echoed by Dr. Oz, who described how he has started doing heart bypass operations on twenty five year olds. As he told Metro New York, "Fighting obesity is not just a weight issue. It's our nation mortgaging our future." Joining Rivera at the press conference were council members White, Monseratte, Vallone, Gentile and Vacca. Monseratte, who has already lost twenty five pounds, pledged to lose another twenty, while White pledged to lose a more modest five pounds. All came out strongly in support of the initiative.
The $6 million request will be decided in the coming weeks as council budget negotiations conclude toward the end of the month. The Health Corps, looking to expand into more than thirty schools in the fall, has been discussing collaboration with the Department of Education on as number of its school-based health initiatives.
Dr. Roger Platt, who is the liaison between the DOE and the Health Department sees the HC as a perfect vehicle to advance these health policies through the creation of an activist student cadre that will promote healthier living to their peers as well as into the community. It is hoped that the Bloomberg administration will agree to match any coucnil allocation for this exciting and innovative approach to the hearts and minds side of the health issue.
Tuesday, June 05, 2007
Columbia's Rising Tide
Which is the key point that we have been making all along. The expansion will have a disparate impact on folks in the community; some of the people who are fortunate enough to own property will find that, "Columbia is going to make a whole lot of people in Harlem very happy." While others, such as Luisa Henriquez, who is one of the 400 or so tenants who will be uprooted by the expansion, will be victimized; "We do not want to be moved out...Columbia moving in is a bad thing because Columbia isn't willing to share. They want everything."
What all of this underscores is the need to mitigate through collaboration. The current Columbia plan, one that is bereft of any affordable housing, needs to be modified. There is no reason why Ms. Henriquez needs to be uprooted from her neighborhood, or why thousands of other Harlem residents should be pushed out of their apartments as rents rise post development.
In order to do this, the current application needs to be withdrawn and a plan to build affordable housing needs to be added to the proposal. We have already said that the largest property owner in the Columbia footprint is on board for this modification, and he is willing to play a major role in the housing development. The Columbia-centric plan must be held in abeyance and a better concept, one that is more West Harlem friendly, needs to be brought forth.
REBNY Green? It Should be Red-Faced
It reminds us of the time, many years ago, when we were working for Assemblyman Luis Nine of the South Bronx. During this period a number of Bronx politicians decided that they would lobby, as a front for Cablevision, for their own cable franchise in the borough. The group, led by Herman Badillo, met in the hospital room of the late Bronx jefe, Ramon Velez (who had until that financially opportune moment been Herman's sworn enemy).
During the discussion, Herman started to lecture the crew about Puerto Rican pride, and how much it would mean to the group to have its own cable franchise. To which Nine, smiling, replied: "You know Herman, whenever I see you waving the Puerto Rican flag, I hold onto my wallet."
In similar fashion, the sight of REBNY waving the green banner, leads me to hold tightly to the old bill fold. Schemes like congestion pricing rarely impact the power lunch folks to any great extent; but they often take a big bite from the lunch pail crowd. It means that everyone not normally seen breakfasting at the Regency should be very afraid of the way in which the proponents of this plan are advocating its passage with such undue haste.
Monday, June 04, 2007
Avoiding Speeding
Quite a crew, and certainly enough of an eclectic bunch to raise any one's suspicions about what they are up to. The NY Times' political blog is reporting that REBNY is preparing to run television commercials in support of the congestion plan, continuing, we suppose, that organization's traditionally strong support of environmental causes.
Which is why we should be extremely careful about the way in which some of the city's editorial boards are pushing to rush the mayor's plan through in the closing days of the current legislative session. Yesterday it was Newsday who urged quick action, and today we find the NY Daily News in lock-step.
Such unanimity for an idea that hasn't really been properly vetted by people who aren't already predisposed to support it, is always a dangerous situation. Especially for the tax payers who aren't really at the table when these great thoughts are being dispensed by our Philosopher King at City Hall.
What we propose is that the entire idea should be submitted to the city's ULURP process for community board and city council hearings. Let's get some of these controversial ideas in front of the public that will be forced to pay for them, and see if they can be convinced that they will be paying less with the $8 fee than they are currently, but unknowingly, paying for their current commute
After all, this putative traffic congestion relief will impact the environments of scores of neighborhoods both within and outside of the congestion price zone. Maybe its just me, but whenever big business folks start to talk about saving the environment I immediately begin to get a tight hold on my wallet.
And when editorial writers begin to cite figures directly cribbed from advocacy group press packets, then you just have to know that there is a compelling need for a great deal more scrutiny than the current PlaNYC is getting. So we say, hats off to the Assembly (holding hearings this Friday) that is taking a cautious approach to all of this saber rattling. A more careful review of congestion pricing may just reveal an alternative reality than the one that the spinmeisters are putting forth on all fronts.
Sunday, June 03, 2007
Gridlock Mike?
The Post also points out that the placardization of Manhattan, unlike his congestion pricing tax, is something that the mayor can do something about without having to wait for any legislative approval. His foot dragging on the issue, however, highlights the extent to which the administration is talking out of both sides of its mouth on the congestion tax issue.
Placards account for an additional 20,000 cars a day on the city streets and the mayor fails to act. Similarly, he continues to promote the building of malls and calls for the entry of box stores like Wal-Mart that are almost entirely auto-dependent.
If we are going to really promote sustainability, than we need a better plan than the current PlaNYC; one that looks at all of the city and not just the Manhattan that is the entirety of the Bloombergistas' vision. In order to get that plan, however, we need to defeat the current one so that we can examine PlaNYC for the flaws that it has already exhibited.
We do not need, as Newsday suggests editorially in today's paper, to rush ahead accepting the tendentious arguments of a NYC Partnership that is in the tank for the administration for clearly non-environmental reasons. And isn't it interesting that Newsday, which takes pro business stances about as often as the Times supports the Bushes, feels it can cite this one business group in support of the congestion tax. All of which makes it even more important to carefully analyze the mayor's plan, and not move forward so percipitously.
Columbia Wins Brownie Points
Still, it was a bit disconcerting to read the mischaracterization of the nature of the opposition to the DCP decision to certify Columbia's land use application for a summer review by the local community board. It seems the righteous concern of the locals that the summer review process is underhanded, is seen by the News board as "a descent into the rhetorical gutter
..." Did the News, which had three reporters at Friday's press conference really convey this atmosphere back to their fearless leader at 34th Street?
Couldn't the paper take the time to fairly review and report on the letter that was sent to CPC Chairwoman Burden detailing the reasons for the community board's protest? It would have been nice since there was a Daily News blackout on the press conference itself, leaving readers of the paper to rely on a misleading and tendentious editorial for any "news" about the substance of the community protest.
The editorial goes on to tell its readers that CB#9's protest is "cynical posturing," since "Columbia has met at least forty times with community groups." And this inside information comes from whom? Did the ed board meet with anyone from the community board or the LDC to get their side concerning these wonderful in-depth negotiations?
In the end the News concludes that, "Perhaps, Columbia can do more. The way to find out is through civil negotiations rather than overheated obstructionism." That would indeed be welcome, especially by the folks whose property is about to be taken-something that the editorial somehow fails to mention.
The reality is that once the ULURP process begins meaningful negotiations are made more difficult. Columbia, which has been doing more shucking and ducking than negotiating, needed to have an agreement in principle before any land use application was submitted for certification.
The fact is that there is, as of yet, no common ground between the LDC and the university. And for the next seven months Columbia will be spending more energy on bogarting the community than working out an agreement that is fair to all of the affected stakeholders. If it does fail to negotiate in good faith, than we can expect a good deal of "overheated obstructionism" from the community, and further obscurantism from the News editorial board.
Friday, June 01, 2007
Garbage Plan Rotting
It should be pointed out, however, that the failure to implement the siting aspects of the SWMP could very well mean that the entire edifice will collapse, and the mayor and the council will be back to square one. This wouldn't upset us at all, since we have said all along that the most important component of any meaningful solid waste plan is waste reduction, a component that the current waste chimera is sorely lacking.
Full Court Press Conference on Columbia
The DCP decision is being protested by both the board and the West Harlem LDC that was set up ostensibly to negotiate a CBA with the local community. Board chair, Jordi Reyes-Montblanc, is saying that the certification decision appears to be an attempt to end-run meaningful community input and review (a view that the LDC shares). As the NY Sun is reporting today, this contention is supported by State Senator Bill Perkins and Assemblyman Keith Wright, indicating that the political battle is just heating up.
The community board members will be joined by the Coalition for the Preservation of Community (CPC), the community group that has been organizing relentlessly against the Columbia-centric plan. One of the key ingredients in the entire protest is the community's dissatisfaction with the fact that Columbia's plan doesn't include any affordable housing component, this in spite of the fact that the university is evicting low-income tenants from the Till Houses.
All of which, as NY Daily News columnist Juan Gonzales points out in today's paper, is creating a building "rage" in the West Harlem community. As he reminds his readers, "Many in Harlem haven't fotgotten Columbia's dark history of evicting thousands of low-income black and Hispanic tenants from Morningside Heights from the 1960s to the 1980s to make way for more student dormitories..."
Gonzalez also points out that paying Bill Lynch $40,000 a month won't assuage the community that sees the need for affordable housing as critical. As Luis Tejada of the Mirabal Sisiters Community Center told the News, "This fight will determine if low-income housing disappears in all of West Harlem." In response, saying that the bad old days are over (and "The new Columbia is sensitive to the community") Lynch told Gonzales that, "The university is committed to provide affordable housing, if not in that catchment area then nearby."(emphasis added)
At the same time, Lynch also said that those who are opposing the project haven't "offered any concrete proposals for negotiation." As Bill should know, however, Columbia hasn't been on any extended listening tour in the West Harlem community.
What we're left with is the undeniable fact that, despite Lynch's protestations, Columbia has shown absolutely no desire to negotiate any real agreement with either the existing property owners in the path of expansion, or with the community that suspects the university's good faith. It remains to be seen if these defects can be overcome through the application of sheer political muscle.